ABSTRACT
Analysing the determinants of cross-border portfolio investment inflows to 17 emerging countries in 2012–2020, this study supports a global financial cycle hypothesis stressing the dominant role played by global factors in those inflows. In the amidCOVID-19 period of 2020, such dominance decreased mainly through global real business factors. The relative dominance of local factors increased then. Increases of short-term interest rates and mitigations of sovereign risks in the countries were more greatly associated with discouraging global investors from selling local securities in the pandemic period than before. © 2022, AfricaGrowth Institute. All rights reserved.
ABSTRACT
Background. Little is known about how social media platforms can be used to increase COVID-19 vaccine intent. We aimed to investigate the effect of social mediabased interventions on vaccine hesitancy in Japan. Methods. We conducted a three-arm randomized controlled trial between 5 November 2021 and 9 January 2022. Japanese aged 20 or above who had not received any COVID-19 vaccine and did not intend to be vaccinated were randomly assigned to one of the following three groups: (i) a control group (with no intervention), (ii) a group with a free chatbot in a popular messenger app called 'LINE,' which provided general information on COVID-19 vaccines and (iii) a group with free webinars where healthcare professionals interactively provided participants with the information on COVID-19 vaccines. The vaccine intention (VI) and three pre-defined Vaccine Confidence Index (VCI), including the importance, safety, and effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccines, were compared. Results. 1,158 persons were included, and the baseline characteristics and demographics were balanced across three groups (Table 1). Among 386 persons assigned to the chatbot group, 231 (59.8%) accessed the chatbot and answered the post-survey. The post-survey revealed no significant difference in VI or VCI between the chatbot group and the control group (Table 2).Among 386 persons assigned to the webinar group, 207 (53.6%) attended webinars and answered the post-survey. The post-survey revealed no difference in VI between the webinar group and the control group. However, the VCI for the importance and the effectiveness significantly increased in the webinar group. There was no difference in VCI for the safety. VCI for the importance and the effectiveness in the control group decreased without any intervention during the study period. Vaccine intention and confidence after interventions Conclusion. While this study demonstrated that neither the chatbot nor the webinar changed VI, VCI for the importance and the effectiveness significantly increased with the webinar intervention. Interactive webinars with live Q and A provided by professionals may have a role in increasing COVID-19 vaccine confidence. Given the degree of vaccine hesitancy worsened over time in the control group, timely intervention is required.
ABSTRACT
Background. Japan has one of the highest vaccine hesitancy rates in the world. According to a previous study, less than 30% of people strongly agreed that vaccines were safe, important, or effective. We created a COVID-19 vaccine information chatbot in a popular messenger app in Japan to answer COVID-19 vaccine frequently asked questions (FAQs) via text messages. We assessed the impact of chatbot text messages on COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy by conducting a cross-sectional survey among chatbot users. Methods. LINE is the most popular messenger app in Japan;about 86 million people in Japan (roughly two-thirds of the population) use this messenger app. Corowa-kun, a free chatbot, was created in LINE on February 6, 2021. Corowa-kun provides instant, automated answers to frequently asked COVID-19 vaccine questions. A cross-sectional survey assessing COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy was conducted via Corowa-kun during April 5 to 12, 2021. We included persons ages 16 years old and older who had not received a COVID-19 vaccine. The survey was written in Japanese and consisted of 21 questions. Corowa-kun is the mascot of an online chatbot. This chatbot in LINE is used to answer COVID-19 vaccine frequently asked questions (FAQs) via text messages. As of May 10th, 70 FAQs are available. Results. A total of 59,676 persons used Corowa-kun during February to April 2021. The most commonly accessed message categories were: "I have (select comorbidity), can I get a COVID-19 vaccine?" (23%);followed by questions on adverse reactions (22%) and how the vaccine works (20%). 10,192 users (17%) participated in the survey. Median age was 55 years (range 16 to 97), and most were female (74%). Intention to receive a COVID-19 vaccine increased from 59% to 80% after using Corowa-kun (p < 0.01). Overall, 20% remained hesitant: 16% (1,675) were unsure, and 4% (364) did not intend to be vaccinated. Factors associated with vaccine hesitancy were: age 16 to 34 (odds ratio [OR] = 3.7, 95% confidential interval [CI]: 3.0-4.6, compared to age ≥65), female sex (OR = 2.4, Cl: 2.1-2.8), and history of another vaccine side-effect (OR = 2.5, Cl: 2.2-2.9). Being a physician (OR = 0.2, Cl: 0.1-0.4) and having received a flu vaccine the prior season (OR = 0.4, Cl: 0.3-0.4) were protective. COVID-19 vaccine acceptance increased and hesitancy decreased after using Corowa-kun, Japan, 2021 (n=10,192) ∗There was a statistically significant difference in responses between before and after using Corowa-kun (p < 0.01, Chi-square test). Univariable logistic regression models of factors associated with COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy, Japan, 2021 (n=10,192) Ref: reference NA: Logistic regression was not performed due to too small number (n≤3) Conclusion. Corowa-kun reduced vaccine hesitancy by providing COVID-19 vaccine information in a messenger app. Mobile messenger apps could be leveraged to increase COVID-19 vaccine acceptance.
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Introduction: Approximately 10,000 Americans are treated annually for firework-related injuries. In 2020, US police organizations reported an increased number of firework-related calls. Furthermore, because of the COVID pandemic, many major firework displays were cancelled, and celebrants shifted to smaller, distributed events. We examine if there was a concomitant increase in firework-related injuries. Methods: We performed a retrospective review of patients who presented to our urban level 1 trauma center between January 1st, 2015 and July 31st, 2020 with firework-related injuries. Patients were identified from our trauma registry and emergency department records. Charts were reviewed for patient demographics, injuries, procedures performed, and mortality. Patients were grouped by date of presentation and descriptive statistics were derived. Results: We identified 66 patients injured during the study period. The median age was 23 and 91% were male. The incidence was stable over the study period except for a dramatic rise in 2020, when half of all injuries occurred. The most common injuries were fingers (74%), hand and wrist (48%), burns (47%), and ocular (42%). 26% demonstrated the triad of injury to hand or fingers, eyes, and tympanic membrane rupture. 63% needed amputation of at least one digit. 18% required amputation of the hand. Conclusion: There has been a steep increase in the number of firework-related trauma in 2020. These injuries continue to cause serious, lifelong disability. Although the recent spike may have been driven by a combination of transient social conditions, this data should inform increased efforts at prevention and research into causative factors.
ABSTRACT
Importance: The suspension of elective operations in March 2020 to prepare for the COVID-19 surge posed significant challenges to resident education. To mitigate the potential negative effects of COVID-19 on surgical education, it is important to quantify how the pandemic influenced resident operative volume. Objective: To examine the association of the pandemic with general surgical residents' operative experience by postgraduate year (PGY) and case type and to evaluate if certain institutional characteristics were associated with a greater decline in surgical volume. Design, Setting, and Participants: This retrospective review included residents' operative logs from 3 consecutive academic years (2017-2018, 2018-2019, and 2019-2020) from 16 general surgery programs. Data collected included total major cases, case type, and PGY. Faculty completed a survey about program demographics and COVID-19 response. Data on race were not collected. Operative volumes from March to June 2020 were compared with the same period during 2018 and 2019. Data were analyzed using Kruskal-Wallis test adjusted for within-program correlations. Main Outcome and Measures: Total major cases performed by each resident during the first 4 months of the pandemic. Results: A total of 1368 case logs were analyzed. There was a 33.5% reduction in total major cases performed in March to June 2020 compared with 2018 and 2019 (45.0 [95% CI, 36.1-53.9] vs 67.7 [95% CI, 62.0-72.2];P < .001), which significantly affected every PGY. All case types were significantly reduced in 2020 except liver, pancreas, small intestine, and trauma cases. There was a 10.2% reduction in operative volume during the 2019-2020 academic year compared with the 2 previous years (192.3 [95% CI, 178.5-206.1] vs 213.8 [95% CI, 203.6-223.9];P < .001). Level 1 trauma centers (49.5 vs 68.5;27.7%) had a significantly lower reduction in case volume than non-level 1 trauma centers (33.9 vs 63.0;46%) (P = .03). Conclusions and Relevance: In this study of operative logs of general surgery residents in 16 US programs from 2017 to 2020, the first 4 months of the COVID-19 pandemic was associated with a significant reduction in operative experience, which affected every PGY and most case types. Level 1 trauma centers were less affected than non-level 1 centers. If this trend continues, the effect on surgical training may be even more detrimental.